Lithuania and Ukraine face at Vilniaus LFF stadionas, in a match for this stage of the EC Qualification (Qualifying Round). There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 18‑11‑2014, the match ended with the final score: Ukraine (0‑0) Lithuania. Lithuania registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.
Lithuania VS Ukraine
07 September 2019 – 17:00
Qualifying Round – Group B – Round 5
07 Sep – 17:00
Who will be the winner?
Analysis of Lithuania
After 1 draw and 2 losses, the home team is currently in the 5th position, with 1 point won. In the last match, they have lost (4‑1) in an away match against Serbia, after in the previous round they have tied (1‑1) at home against Luxembourg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 5 goals scored and 36 conceded; against 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 6 home matches Lithuania has tied 2 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. They haven’t been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Lithuania comes for this match after a 4-1 loss against Serbia, and they are still unable to win in this qualifying round for EURO 2020: their only goal was signed by Novikovas. Despite playing with the full support of his audience, coach Valdas Urbonas should take a more cautious eleven to the field, benefiting the constant counterattacks through the corridors. The 11 jersey, Novikovas, is the great weapon of this formation: this player is very skilled at 1×1. Out of this game is Slavickas due to physical problems.
Analysis of Ukraine
The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Serbia by (5‑0). In the last round, they have won a home match against Luxembourg by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Ukraine has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 4 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 11 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (31’‑45′).
The Ukrainians heads into this match motivated after winning 1-0 against Luxembourg, adding the third consecutive win in this qualifying round: the only goal of the team was signed by Yaremchuk. In this away game, Ukraine will want to set the pace of the match, catching the ball and creating the opportunities through more organized attacks. Most likely we will see this formation aligned in 4-3-3. Yaremcuk is the highlight of this formation, being this player very powerful and strong in finishing. The entire squad is available for this game.