Estonia and Netherlands meet at A. Le Coq Arena, in a match for this stage of the EC Qualification (Qualifying Round). There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 06‑09‑2013, the match ended with the final score: Estonia (2‑2) Netherlands. Estonia registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.
Estonia VS Netherlands
09 September 2019 – 19:45
Qualifying Round – Group C – Round 6
09 Sep – 19:45
Who will be the winner?
Analysis of Estonia
The home team is currently in the 5th position, no points won yet, after 4 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost an away match against Germany by (8‑0). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Belarus by (1‑2). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. Estonia has won 1, tied 1 and lost 6 of the last 8 home matches.
They have lost the last 4 matches for this competition. They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Their weak campaign so far and the strong national teams in its group make it clear that going to the Eurocup is not going to happen. Estonia is currently in a bad position, but it has the potential to at least try to improve. For this to happen they must win their game, even knowing the quality of their opponent. However, it is hard to believe that this happens, and if they can avoid a rout they cannot complain. This makes it clear that however much they do their best, the chances of winning are slim due to their opponent’s strength. In this match the best players available will be on the field.
Analysis of Netherlands
The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match against Germany by (2‑3). In the last round, they have won an away match against Germany by (2‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Netherlands has won 4, tied 4 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 11 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 20 goals between minutes (76’‑90′); they have conceded 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (0’‑15′).
If the Dutch national team wants to go to the next European Cup they will need to work very hard and show something better in the remaining games. It is necessary to have consistency, in both performances and results, as this is the right way to achieve what they want. In the current round they will play far from their domains and know that they need to have attitude, after all a stumble could complicate things for them. This is a game to have a more intense posture and take advantage of their opponent’s weakness to try to add up the three points. In this match the best players available will be on the field.