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AC Milan were beaten on Thursday, putting even more pressure on Marco Giampaolo. His poor start at the club has seen them drop to 13th, with their top-four ambitions floundering. Milan have lost back to back games, but could they make it three defeats on the spin when they meet Fiorentina this week?
Milan’s league struggles have been confounded with their lack of European football. They dropped out of the Europa League to focus on Serie A, but having extra prep time hasn’t helped them to gain results so far. They’ve beaten two promoted sides so far, losing the rest of their clashes.
Fiorentina are a side on the up, following their poor 2018/19 campaign. The visitors come here in 15th place, but they’ve started to turn things around. A much needed midweek victory over Sampdoria has them moving in the right direction, while they have landed this trip to San Siro at the perfect time.
Fiorentina may have started the season with back to back defeats, but their last three games have been more impressive. They first played Juventus off the park in a 0-0 draw, while they were minutes away from a win at Atalanta. They stepped it up with Wednesday’s victory, which lifted them away from the bottom three.
AC Milan are vulnerable here, despite having one of the best defensive records in Serie A in 2019. The hosts are struggling to score goals, with just three to their name so far. A 4% shot conversion rate just isn’t good enough for a club the size of Milan, while it offers a chance to Fiorentina as they look to continue their turnaround.
Milan head into this clash with under 2.5 goals landing in five of their last six matches. They’ve also seen fewer than three scored in three of their last four clashes with Fiorentina. Last term the pair shared two 1-0 away wins in their league meetings, so this could easily be another low scoring encounter.
We are going with under 2.5 goals as our tip for this clash, with Fiorentina gaining in confidence. They’re the only side to hold Juventus without conceding this term, so they should be able to stop a goal-shy Milan outfit. With confidence low among the Rossoneri, we are backing the hosts to struggle up front. That has us backing fewer than three goals, while we’re going with a 1-0 away win.