Azerbaijan and Croatia face at Bakcell Arena, in a match for this stage of the EC Qualification (Qualifying Round). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Croatia presents significant differences between home and away performances.
- Azerbaijan VS Croatia
09 September 2019 – 17:00
Qualifying Round – Group E – Round 6
09 Sep – 17:00
Who will be the winner?
Analysis of Azerbaijan
After 4 losses, the home team is currently in the 5th position, with no points won. In the last match, they have lost (2‑1) in an away match against Wales, after in the previous round they have lost (1‑5) at home against Slovakia. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. Azerbaijan has won 2, tied 5 and lost 3 of the last 10 home matches.
In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last matches. They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (16’‑30′).
Azerbaijan have yet to score within the competition and this is due to the fact that they are showing terrible football within the four lines. In order to change this scenario, the Azerbaijan team will need to have more attitude on the pitch, both in scoring and attacking. In this round some difficulties should appear, as they will face a much more qualified opponent. In the last round, Azerbaijan were beaten away by Wales by 2 x 1. The coach should not have major missing players for this confrontation.
Analysis of Croatia
The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 9 points won, after 3 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Wales by (2‑1). In the last round, they have won an away match against Slovakia by (0‑4). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Croatia has won 4, tied 1 and lost 5. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 14 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but have turned the score around in 4.
Croatia are in the lead of their group and see in this round a good opportunity to add all three points, even playing away from home, because it will face a technically very weak opponent. The Croatian team is expected to take the initiative in the game, thus seeking a goal in the opening minutes of the match. In the last round Croatia got a great away win against Slovakia by 4-0. The coach should go to the field at full force.