Southampton VS Bournemouth
20 September 2019 – 20:00
Regular Season – Round 6
Who will be the winner?
Southampton and AFC Bournemouth face at St. Mary’s Stadium, in a match for the 6th round of the Premier League. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 27‑04‑2019, they tied (3‑3). S. Long (12′ ), J. Ward‑Prowse (55′ ) and M. Targett (67′ ) scored for Southampton and D. Gosling (20′ ) and C. Wilson (32′ and 86′ ) for AFC Bournemouth. Southampton registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.
Analysis of Southampton
The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Manchester United, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Sheffield United, by (0‑1). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Southampton has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 19 of the last 20 have ended with Over 1,5 goals.
Southampton FC have made a positive start in the season, winning 2 of their 5 matches so far, being their last, away from home against Sheffield United by 0-1: their only goal was scored by Moussa Djenepo. However, it should be noted that the home club has not won yet any indoor match. In this match against Bournemouth, the coach Ralph Hasenhüttl is expected to play in 3-4-3 with Boufal, Djenepo and Che Adams the most advanced men of the team. Note that the home team present major problems in defensive organization and set pieces. Out of this game are Obafemi, McQueen and Nathan Redmond, all with physical problems.
Analysis of AFC Bournemouth
The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Leicester City, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Everton, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away matches AFC Bournemouth has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 17 of the last 24 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
Bournemouth set off for this match with a big 3-1 home victory against Everton, thus totaling their second Premier League triumph: their goals were scored by Ryan Fraser and Callum Wilson (2) . In this away game, mister Eddie Howe should play in the usual 4-4-2 opting for a more defensive strategy, looking for counterattacks to create danger. Callum Wilson is Bournemouth’s highlight with 3 goals and 1 assist. For this match the coach cannot count on Brooks, Gosling, Daniels and Stanislas for recovering from injury